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1-2-3-4 We Declare a Trade War
The Trump administration will impose new tariffs on key U.S. trading partners—Canada, Mexico, and the European Union— on the grounds that their exports of steel and aluminum pose a threat to the national security of the United States. Tariffs are always bad policy because they amount to the government picking winners and losers, but these tariffs are a pop fly with the bases loaded, one run down in the bottom of the ninth.
Raising tariffs is raising taxes, and tariffs are a tax that is paid by consumers, not producers. Simply put, consumer goods such as sodas, cars, electronics etc. will increase in price. Tariffs also reduce purchasing power, putting the brakes on the growth of our economy. And, import tariffs on industrial commodities like steel and aluminum act as a tax on exports, reducing our competitiveness in international markets.
Tariffs on our closest allies put us in conflict with the very countries who are our strongest allies in confronting the abuse of international trading rules by China. The underlying issue is Chinese overcapacity in steel production, which is depressing prices worldwide, and more broadly China’s free-riding on the global trading system. China is a large country and a nuclear power; disciplining their behavior will not be easy – and picking fights with our allies won’t make it any easier. In effect, these tariffs strengthen China’s position, not ours.
Finally, these tariffs threaten the integrity of the global trading system that the United States has built over the past 70 years. Using a national security exception to argue that our tariffs are not subject to international rules, an argument that has rarely been used, encourages others to do likewise – China, for example – ultimately undermining our ability to enforce those countries’ commitments in the future. We carefully negotiated a system of trade commitments that open markets where America is competitive and limit market access where we are a relatively high-cost producer. Weakening those commitments is a risky strategy.
The President asserted in his inaugural address, “Protection will lead to great prosperity and strength.” History suggests that the result is unlikely to bring great prosperity or great strength.
Matthew Rooney joined the Bush Center in June 2015 following a career as a Foreign Service Officer with the U.S. Department of State. At postings in Washington and abroad, he focused on advocating market-driven solutions to economic policy challenges in both industrialized and developing countries, and on protecting the interests of U.S. companies abroad.
In Washington, Rooney was on loan to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce to create a high-level private sector advisory body for the Summits of the Americas, working closely with the U.S. private sector and with companies and business associations from throughout the Americas to negotiate an agenda to promote economic integration in the region. Previously, he was Deputy Assistant Secretary responsible for relations with Canada and Mexico and for regional economic policy. In prior Washington assignments, Rooney worked for then-Senator Fred Thompson, and supported negotiations to open global markets to U.S. airline services.
Abroad, Rooney was Consul General in Munich, a Consulate General providing a full range of Consular and export promotion services, supporting a permanent presence of 30,000 U.S. forces in two major base complexes, and carrying out a media and public relations initiative in support of U.S. diplomatic objectives in Germany. As Counselor for Economic and Commercial Affairs at the U.S. Embassy in San Salvador, El Salvador, he laid the groundwork for free trade negotiations between the United States and the five countries of Central America, and promoted market-based reforms for electrical power. Prior to this, he served in various posts in Germany, Gabon and Côte d’Ivoire.
Rooney studied Economics, German and French at the University of Texas at Austin and received his Master’s Degree in International Management at the University of Texas at Dallas.Full Bio
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El Paso del Norte, A Cross-Border Community
Reporting on their recent trip to El Paso, Matthew Rooney, managing director of the Bush Institute-SMU Economic Growth Initiative, and William McKenzie, editorial director of the Bush Institute, explain why El Paso del Norte points to both the challenges and potential benefits of the close relationship between the United States and Mexico.
Executive Trade Policy Authority: A Threat to America’s Global Leadership on Trade
Congress could start clawing back trade policy authority that it has long delegated to the president.